As more and more people begin talking about a Second American Civil War, it becomes a more and more likely scenario. For every site that posts a story on whether or not a Second American Civil War is coming, there are just as many opinions. Here’s how we think it would happen.
The Second American Civil War
In the past, civil wars have been preceded by either ethnic or political tensions. With so many of Obama’s supporters claiming that those who do not support him are racists, it isn’t a far cry that there could be both political and ethnic tensions that trigger a Second American Civil War.
As we have mentioned before, the media also plays a large role in how civil wars and how collapses happen. Often times, media agencies begin to radicalize in one direction or another, at which point the public has to piece together the real story of what is going on. During this time, pundits and representatives from the government try to reassure everyone that there is no problem.
Eventually, though, skirmishes start to break out in some areas. When these skirmishes break out, word spreads by those either escaping or returning from these battles. Eventually, the media is unable to contain the news of the impending calamity, and finally admits what is happening.
At this point, all hell breaks loose. People either begin stockpiling food, water, and weapons; or they leave the area. Regardless, everyone takes a side, whether they want to or not. From there, groups begin to consolidate more on each side, moving to where there are more from “their side.”
If history has taught us anything, it is that guerilla forces and organized military will both be used in defensive and offensive engagements (respectively).
Unlike the First American Civil War, the Second American Civil War will result in two or more nations when the dust settles.
What Will Happen To The States In a Second American Civil War
This is all conjecture, but anyone claiming to offer anything other than that is guessing as well at this time.
That said, what we see happening is California descending into chaos and essentially becoming a wasteland for the first few years. With its huge debt, anti-weapon laws, and history of race riots and racial tensions, there is no reason to believe that California will be a major force in a Second American Civil War. Eventually, though, a charismatic leader with good military sense (although probably not a trained military person) will have the right connections to be able to negotiate a peace, at which point, it may once again play a part in North American politics.
The primary conflict we see will be in the secession of Texas and Oklahoma. Texas already has a thriving business environment, a friendliness to the Second Amendment, and a history of independence—having at one time in the past become its own nation. Oklahoma, which sits adjacent to Texas, will opt to join the Lone Star State based on the data that, during the election, Oklahoma was the only solidly red state in the Union.
From there, Louisiana and Arkansas would join, as would Missouri. Essentially, we would have the same states seceding to their respective sides that we had during the First Civil War.
Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Illinois would continue with the Union, but the Dakotas are a toss-up. Kansas and Nebraska, along with some others in that area, would probably side with Texas as well.
However, Idaho, Wyoming, eastern Oregon and Washington, northern Nevada, and Utah would probably become one nation, given their more conservative stances.
Coastal Washington and Oregon are a bit of a toss-up, but would probably ultimately go to Idaho-Montana-Wyoming, with the more liberal residents opting to either go into Canada, or down south to California to try their luck there (depending upon how long it has been since the fighting started).
Arizona would try to stick it out on their own, or maybe even try to annex southern and central Nevada, New Mexico, and parts of California, but ultimately, as time went on, there just would not be enough resources, and they would instead opt to join Texas and the other secessionist states, unless it was able to gain control of California.
California is the true wild card, and the most terrifying (as residents of the state ourselves). We have abundant resources, are a hub of technological innovation, have the busiest ports in the nation, but also has the worst state government this side of the Mississippi. No matter to whom California goes, it is going to be a long, ugly, and brutal annexation—and it will be annexed. Californians do not have the foresight to vote for their own protection.
The only exception would be that California becomes it’s own nation. Unlike the other states, it would be the sole dictatorship to emerge from the US. Voting arms out of our own hands, voting a bloated bureaucracy and state workers into existence, and with out burgeoning debt—the only option would be to use a brutal police force its citizens to work for slave wages while a wealthy few enjoy lives of opulence. It is already happening now. It would also either directly or indirectly become a satellite nation of China.
How do you think a Second American Civil War would turn out?